Friday, August 31, 2012

The Smartphone Market Belongs to China in 2012

China will overtake the United States as the world's biggest smartphone market this year, according to research firm IDC, which expects demand to grow for lower-priced smartphones based on Google's Android software.

IDC forecast that China's share of the smartphone market will increase to 26.5 percent this year from 18.3 percent last year, while U.S. market share declines to 17.8 percent from 21.3 percent.

China's sales will be helped by the availability of Android devices priced at $100 or less due to intensifying competition among smartphone vendors, according to IDC. The research firm expects Chinese carriers to help sales by subsidizing phones.

South Korea's Samsung Electronics is the biggest maker of phones using Android around the world and also in the Chinese market. There it is trailed by domestic companies, including Huawei Technologies Co Ltd, ZTE Corp and Lenovo Group Ltd.

In the U.S., growth is expected to slow this year because smartphones already make up the majority of shipments here.

The United Kingdom, the next biggest smartphone market, will trail behind, with a 4.5 percent market share. India's market share is expected to be 2.5 percent in 2012 and will grow to 8.5 percent in 2016.

Source: Reuters

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.


The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

Thursday, August 30, 2012

Unemployment Persists

Gross domestic product expanded at an annual rate of 1.7% in the second quarter, the Commerce Department said Wednesday, a snick higher than the 1.5% it originally reported a month ago but still too low to generate the sort of job growth necessary to keep bringing the unemployment rate lower.

Source:  Wall Street Journal

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.


The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

All time high in dividend payouts

The Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index is set for an all-time high in dividend payouts this month.  The expected $34 billion in dividend payments this month will beat the previous record of $32.1 billion set in November 2011.  There’s more good news for dividend investors, 2013 will probably be even better. If there are no changes to the index and if dividend rates stay the same, then next year’s payments are already scheduled to be 5.8% higher than 2012.

Source:  Wall Street Journal

 The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.


The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville



Tuesday, August 28, 2012

The Storm Isaac and Gas Prices

Tropical Storm Isaac will force shutdowns of 12 coastal refineries in Louisiana, Alabama and Mississippi that together account for 16 percent of the nation’s gasoline production capacity.
As a result, gasoline prices traded near a four-month high as Gulf refineries shut down on Monday.

Valero Energy Corp. is shutting the St. Charles and Meraux refineries in Louisiana and refinery production will resume as soon as it is safe to do so.

Phillips 66 is temporarily shutting its 247,000 barrel-a- day Alliance refinery at Belle Chasse, Louisiana. Exxon Mobil Corp began closing operations at the Chalmette plant near New Orleans.
Marathon Petroleum Corp refinery in Louisiana is operating at reduced rates. Norco and Covent refineries in Louisiana are also running at lower rates, as is Exxon Mobil’s Baton Rouge plant.

Companies including BP, ConocoPhillips, Murphy Oil Corp. and Gulfport Energy Corp. were evacuating personnel or halting production at rigs and platforms. Producers shut in about 500 million cubic feet of gas scheduled to flow on the interstate Transco pipeline.

The Louisiana Offshore Oil Port, the largest point of entry for crude coming into the U.S., stopped offloading tankers yesterday at the marine terminal, according to its website. Louisiana’s Port Fourchon, a base for support services to the Gulf’s deep-water oil and gas facilities will shut today.

Operators of several offshore natural-gas pipelines in the Gulf of Mexico said they will be unable to meet contractual obligations to customers as Isaac approaches. Kinder Morgan Inc.’s Southern Natural pipeline, DCP Midstream LLC’s Dauphin Island gathering system and Enbridge Inc.’s Mississippi Canyon and Nautilus lines declared force majeure.

The U.S. Coast Guard issued shipping restrictions for ports in Louisiana, Alabama and Florida. The port of Mobile in Alabama was scheduled to close yesterday, and no vessels may enter or remain in the Port of New Orleans without permission from the captain of the port, the Coast Guard said.

Derived from Multiple Sources

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.


The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

Friday, August 24, 2012

What Happens to Credit Card Debt When You Die?

By Sally Herigstad, Bankrate

After the death of a family member, many spouses, ex-spouses and even adult children find themselves with a surprise "inheritance" — leftover credit card debt.

When someone dies, the estate pays credit-card balances and other debts. If a person dies with more debts than assets to pay them, creditors can be out of luck — and they often are.

But there are exceptions that could leave the survivors on the hook for someone else's credit-card balance after that person's death.

Joint cardholders beware -  If you're a joint cardholder, meaning you co-signed for the credit card, you're liable for the debt. Parents sometimes do this for children who are just starting out, or adult children will co-sign with their elderly parents, perhaps to help keep track of expenses.

If you're only an authorized user, you're not liable when the cardholder dies. If you co-signed as a joint cardholder, then you just got a new credit card debt.

Using a card after death could spell trouble - Continuing to use a credit card as an authorized user after the cardholder's death could put you in big trouble. "That's got criminal implications," says Ayers. "If somebody wanted to make a case of that, is that any different than picking up a card on the street?"

The same goes for using the card as an authorized user when you know the debt won't be paid.

When the estate loses, beneficiaries lose - Even if you are not held personally liable for the debt on a credit card, you'll feel the effects of it if you're a beneficiary of the estate. Debts will be paid from the estate before beneficiaries receive any distributions.

There is a specific time period for creditors to file a claim against the estate. When an estate is probated, creditors are prioritized. Credit card debt is unsecured, unlike a mortgage, which is secured by property, or a car that is secured by the vehicle. So it's likely the credit card company will be at the back of the line when it comes to paying debts from the estate.

That doesn't mean the credit card company won't try to recoup the debt from family members, so don't fall for it if you know you're not liable. Taking some pre-emptive action, such as notifying credit card companies that the cardholder has died, will help prevent them from contacting you.

Before any debts are paid out of an estate, including credit card debt, consult your attorney.

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.

The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

What is a Hedge Fund?

Hedge funds are privately-owned companies that pool investors' dollars and reinvest them into a wide variety of financial instruments. Their goal is to outperform the market -- by a lot. Unlike mutual funds, whose owners are public corporations, hedge funds are not regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.

For the most part, hedge funds (unlike mutual funds) are unregulated because they cater to sophisticated investors. In the U.S., laws require that the majority of investors in the fund be accredited. That is, they must earn a minimum amount of money annually and have a net worth of more than $1 million, along with a significant amount of investment knowledge. You can think of hedge funds as mutual funds for the super rich. They are similar to mutual funds in that investments are pooled and professionally managed, but differ in that the fund has far more flexibility in its investment strategies.  

It is important to note that hedging is actually the practice of attempting to reduce risk, but the goal of most hedge funds is to maximize return on investment. The name is mostly historical, as the first hedge funds tried to hedge against the downside risk of a bear market by shorting the market (mutual funds generally can't enter into short positions as one of their primary goals). Nowadays, hedge funds use dozens of different strategies, so it isn't accurate to say that hedge funds just "hedge risk". In fact, because hedge fund managers can make speculative investments, these funds can carry more risk than the overall market.

Derived from Multiple Sources

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.


  The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

Thursday, August 23, 2012

Hedge funds’ 10 most popular stocks


1. Apple was the top stock among hedge funds last quarter, and they just kept piling in. One-hundred-and-forty funds reported Apple stakes, up from 134 at the end of March. Bain Capital's Brookside Capital was one of the funds jumping on the bandwagon, initiating a position of about 520,000 shares.

2. Google: One-hundred-and-fourteen hedge funds reported a position in Google, essentially unchanged from 115 in the first quarter. Billionaire Stephen Mandel 's position at Lone Pine Capital increased slightly and is now worth over $750 million.

3. Microsoft: Hedge funds left Microsoft in the second quarter. The tech giant had 98 hedge fund owners as opposed to 103 at the beginning of April, but it still held on to the #3 slot. Renaissance Technologies bucked the crowd, nearly doubling its position to 15.8 million shares.

4. Citigroup: This was another company that hedge funds generally left, with 83 hedge funds having a position (down from 97).

5. Bank of America: Eighty hedge funds reported a position in Bank of America, down from 87 at the end of the first quarter. Bruce Berkowitz was once again the top shareholder, at over 100 million shares. This one position was worth over $800 million at the end of June.

6. J.P. Morgan Chase: The London Whale fiasco didn't affect the hedge fund community much: Seventy-eight funds at the end of March, 78 at the end of June.

7. Qualcomm : Seventy-six funds disclosed long positions in Qualcomm, compared to 78 last quarter. Fisher Asset Management , run by billionaire Ken Fisher, increased its stake by over 60% to 9.3 million shares.

8. Pfizer : Pfizer crept up the list a bit as 75 funds reported positions in the health-care company, up from 74. Discovery Capital Management , added to its Pfizer position in the second quarter.

9. General Motors : Eighty-two hedge funds had owned shares of GM at the end of March, but that number fell to 75 by the end of June, as the auto market remained weak. However, David Einhorn added to Greenlight Capital's position, and the fund is the largest hedge fund shareholder.

10. Wells Fargo : Warren Buffett's favorite bank also saw a number of hedge funds leave. Seventy-two hedge funds owned shares of Wells Fargo, down from 81.

Source:  Insider Monkey


The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.

  The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville





Staying with stocks despite volatility can pay off

By Matt Krantz, USA TODAY

The question is often asked, "Why do people even bother investing in stocks when they just go up and down and don't make any real progress?"

Investors are understandably disgusted with stocks. But they need to look beyond stock charts before drawing conclusions about how stocks have really performed.

Yes, if you just punch up the Dow Jones industrial average or Standard & Poor's 500 index and look at the chart, you see lots of volatility and little payback. The S&P 500 has fallen by as much as 53% over the past five years, and investors really have nothing to show for it, based on the stock chart.

Over those five years, the value of the S&P 500 is actually down by about 3%.

Investors who just look at the chart might think, "Why bother?"

But the chart doesn't show the whole story. Keep in mind that most investors didn't just plunk down all their money five years ago.

Many prudent investors were buying stocks during the bear market in 2009 and 2010. Those investors have gained nicely on those purchases, which were probably pretty scary to make at the time. The S&P 500 has more than doubled from its lows in 2009.

Furthermore, during the entire time, many companies in the S&P 500 have been paying dividends. If you include the value of those dividends, stocks haven't fared nearly as badly as you might think.

While the S&P 500 is still 10% below its all-time high based on price alone, if you include dividends, investors who stuck with stocks are nearly back to their high-water mark, says Howard Silverblatt of S&P Dow Jones Indexes.

If stocks have done so well, then why all the bellyaching? The fact is, most investors allow their emotions to run their portfolios. The investors who jumped into stocks when they were pricey in 2008, and panicked and sold when they were cheap in 2009, lost out and lost big. These are the investors complaining now.

But for the rest, the investors who created diversified portfolios and stuck with their strategies, stocks are doing just fine. And it's these investors who appreciate that stocks are one of the few asset classes that generate the kinds of returns, 10% a year on average, to help keep the value of their assets growing faster than inflation can eat them up.

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.


 The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

What Is the Fiscal Cliff?

The "fiscal cliff" is a term used to describe the U.S. fiscal situation of bundle of significant tax increases and spending cuts due to take effect at the end of 2012 and early 2013. In total, the measures are set to automatically slash the federal budget deficit by $607 billion or approximately 4 percent of GDP between 2012 and 2013. The abrupt onset of such budget austerity in the midst of a still fragile economic recovery has led most economists to warn of a double-dip recession in 2013 if Washington fails to intervene in a timely fashion.

Revenue Increases

2001/2003/2010 Tax Cuts & AMT Patch. This series of legislation, often referred to collectively as the "Bush tax cuts," will expire on December 31, 2012, raising all income tax rates (top will go from 35 to 39.6 percent), as well as rates on estate and capital gains taxes. The alternative minimum tax (AMT) will also automatically apply to millions more citizens.

Payroll Tax Cut. The Social Security payroll tax holiday will expire December 31, raising the rate from 4.2 to 6.2 percent.

Affordable Care Act Taxes. Some provisions in the Obama health care legislation, including increased tax rates on high-income earners, are set to take effect in January 2013.

Spending Cuts

Budget Control Act. The automatic spending cuts or sequester legislated by the Budget Control Act of 2011 will hit January 2. Half of the scheduled annual cuts ($109 billion/year from 2013-2021) will come directly from the national defense budget, half from non-defense. However, some 70 percent of mandatory spending will be exempt.

Extended Unemployment Benefits. The eligibility to begin receiving federal unemployment benefits, last extended in February, will expire at year's end.

Medicare "Doc Fix." The rates at which Medicare pays physicians will decrease nearly 30 percent on December 31.

Debt Ceiling - The debt limit, which sets the maximum amount of outstanding federal debt the U.S. government can incur by law, is currently capped at $16.394 trillion. Treasury could hit this borrowing capacity again sometime in early 2013.

Source:  Council on Foreign Relations

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.

The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

Wednesday, August 22, 2012

Demand Is Weak, So Why Are Oil Prices Rising?

By Daniel J. Graeber, CNBC

Crude oil demand in the United States is down to its lowest level since the onset of the global economic recession. A lackluster economic recovery, coupled with cautious consumer sentiment, is keeping demand for petroleum products suppressed. Nevertheless, lingering concerns over geopolitical tensions with Iran has prompted some governments to raise the possibility of releasing strategic petroleum reserves. Fundamentally, it seems, markets are well supplied, though it may be emotional factors driving certain aspects of the energy market.

The American Petroleum Institute, in its report for July, finds that crude oil demand is down to its lowest levels in roughly four years. U.S. petroleum deliveries for July declined to around 18 million barrels per day, the lowest level for the month since 1995 and the lowest overall since the onset of the global economic recession in 2008. Oil production in the United States, however, reached 6.2 million bpd, the highest for any July figure since 1998 and total refinery inputs grew 2.3 percent in July to reach their highest level for the year.

John Felmy, the API's chief economist, said lower consumer demand was in large part a reflection of the lackluster U.S. economic recovery and lingering pessimism in the eurozone.

"While retail sales for July are up and housing has improved, the weak petroleum demand numbers are a strong indication the economy is still faltering," he said.

Outside of the United States, the Joint Organization Data Initiative reports that crude oil production from Saudi Arabia in June reached its highest level in more than 30 years. Crude oil futures began declining last week on talk by some Western governments of a possible release of strategic petroleum reserves. White House spokesman Josh Earnest confirmed that a release from SPR "is an option that is on the table" in Washington.

The last time governments tapped into their strategic reserves in 2011, Libyan oil production was shuttered by civil war. When oil prices hovered about $100 per barrel early this year, however, most of the market was concerned by tensions with Iran more than a physical disruption, as was the case last year.

API said much of the decline in oil demand was because of lower gasoline usage in the United States. Refinery closures in California and the U.S. Midwest, coupled with a July oil spill in Wisconsin, pushed retail gasoline prices above the $4 per gallon mark. Consumers react strongly to that benchmark, but with fuel efficiency improving, it may be more of an emotional reaction despite lingering unemployment and personal financial concerns. Nevertheless, with the last U.S. holiday before the Christmas season approaching, political maneuvering may be more of a reflection of public sentiment than a legitimate concern about physical shortages in the energy market. Energy markets, said one analyst, are responding to "just about everything except oil news right now."

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.


The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

Monday, August 20, 2012

Why Americans Still Love Small Businesses


By: Ned Smith, BusinessNewsDaily Senior Writer

There's no breakup in sight for America's love affair with small business, a new national poll shows.  But small business is more than a just a sentimental favorite or a carryover from simpler times; small- and medium-size businesses (SMBs) are seen as more important in keeping the middle class economically healthy than government, big business and unions.

Almost nine in 10 adults (88 percent) have a favorable view of small business, compared with the two-thirds (67 percent) who have a positive view of major companies, according to a telephone survey of 1,750 adults sponsored by the Public Affairs Council, a nonprofit group for public affairs officials. More than half (53 percent) have a "very favorable" view of small business, in contrast to only 16 percent who hold the same view about major corporations.

Small business also comes out on top when it comes to public perceptions about honesty and ethics, the survey found. A majority of Americans (52 percent) said small business owners have high ethical standards, compared with only 8 percent who say that about CEOs of major companies.

This may bode well at the cash register for small businesses. There has been an uptick in consumers' preference for dealing with a small local company over a large national or multinational corporation even when it may cost them more money. More than two-thirds of the public (68 percent) said they would prefer to do business with "a smaller local company that may charge somewhat higher prices."

Americans also believe that small business should get the credit for supporting the middle class for the past half-century, the survey found. Asked which has been more important to the economic well-being of middle-class Americans over the last 50 years, a majority of the public (51 percent) chose small businesses. That overshadowed labor unions (19 percent), major corporations (17 percent) and the government (11 percent).

Small business will continue to be the economic linchpin for America for the foreseeable future, Americans believe. When the public considers the next 50 years, 49 percent say that small business will be most important to the economic well-being of the middle class, surpassing government, major companies and labor unions by a significant margin, the survey found.

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.


The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville





Saturday, August 18, 2012

Meat Prices Get Tough

Meat lovers, get ready to pay up at the supermarket. The worst drought in half a century has taken a toll on this year's corn and wheat crops, raising the cost of feeding cattle and hogs.

Fresh beef's retail value jumped to an average of $4.72 a pound in July, a second straight price record, the Agriculture Department said last week. The Labor Department attributed more than half the gain in the wholesale cost of food seen in July's producer-price index to 3.8% rise in the prices of beef and veal.

The chewing may only get tougher.  Karen Short, food retail analyst at BMO Capital Markets, expects a low teen percentage rise in the price of beef, chicken and pork at supermarkets in 2013.  "It is one big daily chain when it comes to corn prices and temperatures," she said.

Source:  Barrons

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.

The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

The 'Lockup' Effect: Facebook

Three months after its initial public offering, Facebook already is down almost 50% from its $38 offering price. The worst might be yet to come.

Over the next nine months, company insiders and early investors will be allowed to sell millions of their shares for the first time, which could put the social network's price under increased downward pressure. The company's first lockup expired on Thursday, sending shares down more than 6.2% to a record low of $19.87. The stock closed Friday at $19.05.

When companies go public, as Facebook did in May, company insiders and early investors can typically sell only a fraction of their shares, which are then traded freely on the stock market. The rest of their holdings are restricted from sale during a "lockup" period, which usually expires six months after the IPO.

After the lockup ends, the number of shares in the market can multiply several times over, often causing prices to fall.

Source:  Wall Street Journal

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.



The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

Thursday, August 16, 2012

What Causes Internet Companies To Fail?

Do you want to own a company that analysts value in the millions, with a product used by people all over the globe, which becomes a cultural phenomenon overnight? Start a social media site. The past decade has seen a new class of dotcoms that offer people a new way to connect to each other and spread information, and coupled with the massive proliferation of mobile technology, these startups have become a ubiquitous presence in the daily lives of people worldwide.

While the omnipresence of social media may give the uninformed the impression that they are massive "cash cows," the fact is that many of these companies fail to maintain a sustainable following after a few years.

While this frequently touted web 2.0 period has transformed global culture into one that embraces constant connectivity, the financial longevity of the companies born in the past few years still remain to be seen. Investors who endured the turbulence of the late 90s dotcom bubble are undoubtedly the first (and perhaps the most vocal) critics of this new wave of companies with bold ambitions but thin financials - and justifiably so.

Early dotcom companies operated on venture capital while offering their products for free in hopes of later profiting from brand recognition. Now, many companies have adapted business models wholly dependent on ad revenue (such as Facebook), with some companies offering additional content access - or simply the removal of ads - for a small premium, while offering services to consumers free of charge.

The primary purpose of a business is to provide a good or service in exchange for money, and many web 2.0 companies fail to fulfill half of that equation. The NASDAQ 100, an index comprised of 100 of the largest companies on the exchange, is full of tech companies, many of which operate under this simple financial formula. Even companies such as Blizzard Activision and EA Games, which debatably provide no economic benefit to their consumers, provide a tangible good. Though they may not grace the ranks of the DOw Jones Industrial Average anytime soon, questions regarding their ability to generate revenue are far from the mouths of critics.

Unlike video game companies, where the product is video games, the product for social media sites is you. Without charging members use of services, social media companies depend on targeted ads located in the margins of pages to earn profits. Thus, without your information and eyes on the page, the company loses money. If the site fails to maintain a strong user experience, or becomes unfashionable to use, the decline in traffic equates proportionally to the decline in ad revenue. A company with revenue streams that sensitive to trends is unlikely to last.

The Bottom Line - A business philosophy of providing free service is obviously a red flag for traditional investors when analyzing future earnings. Despite the popularity and ubiquity of social media in today's culture, in the grand scheme of the markets, nebulous services like allowing users to drench their phone photos in sepia or broadcast the contents of their breakfast in less than 140 characters, are likely passing fads. Without a long-term commitment to keeping users coming back to use your services, as well as a sustainable model where revenues aren't entirely dependent on whether something is trendy, investors should approach these companies with skepticism before sinking money into them.

Source:  Investopedia

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.


The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Are you young and scared to invest?

If so, learn how to get on a better financial path—while time is on your side.

Are you under 33 years old and concerned that you aren’t on the right path to financial security? If so, you are not alone. A recent survey conducted by Fidelity Investments found that a surprising number of young people will not have enough income to meet all of their expected financial needs later in life.

One reason could be the stunning number of young people who are not taking advantage of the potential wealth-generating power of saving and investing. The survey found that, nationally, 42% of twentysomething working households are saving less than 4% of their income.  What’s more, studies have shown that many members of Generation Y (ages 21–33) have either not invested at all, or have shied away from stocks in particular. Indeed, a September 2011 survey found that 40% of Gen Y claim they will never invest in stocks.

This fear of investing in stocks may be understandable, given how the financial crisis sent the market plummeting and joblessness soaring during Gen Y’s early working years. Add to that the high and ever-increasing levels of student debt, not to mention other rising costs of living and uncertainties surrounding the safety net, and it’s no wonder so many young people might be having trouble saving and investing.

But with long futures ahead of them, young people who defer saving and investing in stocks may be doing so at their peril. Consider this: Even with the financial crisis, the dot.com bubble, and other stock market retreats, the S&P 500 has nearly quadrupled since 1990, roughly the lifespan of Gen Y.

Many investment professionals believe that young people who avoid the market out of fear could be shortchanging their financial futures. “Avoiding stocks at such an early age can be a costly decision if you want to grow wealth to do things like buy a car, a house, fund your retirement, or your children’s education,” warns Peter Walsh, institutional portfolio manager with Fidelity. “Fear is not a successful strategy.”

Source:  Fidelity Investments

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.


The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

Millionaires Make A Move

By Christiana Cefalu, Barrons

To find out why stocks are currently on the rise, despite all the dour headlines, the 2012 Fidelity Millionaire Outlook survey, analyzed the attitudes and decisions of 1,020 millionaire households in the 12 months leading up to March, 2012.

Whether a gloomy millionaire or an optimistic millionaire, in both cases rich investors were quietly adding to their stock portfolio, in contrast to the general investor, who has retreated from stocks to fixed-income investments since the start of recession.

Twenty percent of the surveyed millionaire households said they added individual U.S. stocks to their portfolios. Runners up were CDs/money market/cash equivalents (13%), equity Exchange Traded Funds (11%), individual domestic bonds (10%) and domestic equity mutual funds (10%).

But the Fidelity survey drilled down on both bears and bulls, and that’s where the study got interesting. Even the very wealthy with a negative outlook on the financial environment favored stocks. But this pessimistic group hedged their bet with assets like CDs, money market accounts, and cash equivalents, while those with sunnier outlooks doubled down with domestic equity mutual funds and domestic bond mutual funds.

So why are even bearish millionaires still hot on stocks? Call it the comfort factor. Eighty-six percent of millionaires describe themselves as “self-made,” as opposed to born wealthy. That explains the attraction to individual domestic stocks. For the majority who weren’t wealthy growing up, “many of them built their wealth through the capital markets.” So they have ridden the market cycles, know what the market can do for them, and generally strike when they see upside potential.

Moral: The smart money is more upbeat about the future than the headlines suggest. That’s a warning to the terrified who are sitting on their hands while the equities markets continue to rise.

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.

The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

Tuesday, August 14, 2012

Monday, August 13, 2012

Higher Gas Prices? Consider the Drought

Gasoline prices in the United States rose over the past two weeks, driven partly by supply disruptions and a drought-induced rise in ethanol prices.

The rise was partly the result of temporary supply disruptions at refineries and an increase in the cost of corn-based ethanol caused by a severe Midwestern drought.

U.S. law requires a certain amount of ethanol to be sold, and much of it gets blended into gasoline.  Right now, its impact on gasoline is that it’s adding to the cost.  While it pales in comparison to the impact of crude oil prices on gasoline, it’s among the non-crude items that has pushed up the price lately.

Under the five-year-old Renewable Fuel Standard, U.S. fuel companies are required to ensure that 9 percent of their gasoline pools are made up of ethanol this year, which means converting some 40 percent of the corn crop into the biofuel.

As reported by Reuters.

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.

The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville






Precious Metals and Taxes

A lot of television and radio ads are now recommending investors own precious metals as part of their investment portfolio.  Certainly, such an investment adds to overall diversification but these investments do have unique tax liabilities.

If you trade or invest in gold, silver or platinum, the Internal Revenue Service considers it a "collectible" for tax purposes. The same applies to Exchange Traded Funds that trade or hold gold, silver or platinum. As a collectible, if your gain is short-term, then it is taxed as ordinary income. If your gain is earned for more than one year, then you are taxed at either of two capital gains rates, depending on your tax bracket. This means that you cannot take advantage of normal capital gains tax rates that you enjoy with other investments.

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.

The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

Friday, August 10, 2012

Atlantic storms keep oil, natural gas traders on edge

By Myra P. Saefong, MarketWatch

Storms in the Atlantic haven’t packed a big punch, but the latest sweep of Tropical Storm Ernesto stands as a stark reminder of how quickly the Gulf of Mexico production outlook for oil and natural gas can change, especially since the hurricane season is far from over.

On Thursday, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration updated its Atlantic hurricane season prediction, raising the number of expected storms for the 2012 season, which officially began on June 1 and ends Nov. 30.

NOAA now expects to see 12 to 17 named storms, including 5 to 8 hurricanes — of which 2 to 3 could become major hurricanes, with winds of at least 111 miles per hour. That compares to an initial outlook released in May calling for 9 to 15 named storms, including 4-8 hurricanes and 1 to 3 major hurricanes.

So far, only the storm system named Debby has caused any sizable Gulf of Mexico shut-ins of oil and gas production.

There hasn’t been any material impact from the hurricane season, but some storms that would minimally cause evacuations of offshore rigs, would impact inventory levels on a temporary basis.

Tropical Storm Debby, the fourth-named storm of the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season, caused severe flooding in Florida in late June, as well as some precautionary oil and natural gas production shutdowns in the Gulf of Mexico (GOM).

On June 23, about 7.8% of Gulf of Mexico oil production and 8.2% of natural gas production were shut in as Debby approached, according to data from the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement.

For now, the U.S. oil and natural gas markets have ample supplies, and some analysts say that Gulf of Mexico hurricanes won’t be quite as worrisome to the energy industry as they used to be.
Now only 5% to 6% of total U.S. natural gas supply is from the Gulf of Mexico, when it used to be closer to 20%.

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.

The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in 
the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville

Biggest dividend-paying stocks are still the best

Large-cap growth shares guide investors through rocky market

By Rachel Koning Beals, MarketWatch

CHICAGO (MarketWatch) — Among U.S. stocks nowadays, the bigger they are, the harder they work.

The market’s giants have proven nimble and stable in the choppy global economy. Large-cap growth-stock mutual funds, for example, are up 12% so far this year, more than three percentage points above their small-cap growth counterparts, according to investment researcher Morningstar Inc.

Is there more upside? For investors who are selective, it sure looks that way.

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.


Wednesday, August 8, 2012

Retail Investors Miss Rally (Again)

By Jonnelle Marte, Smart Money

While stocks have been on a tear over the past few weeks, many retail investors find themselves in a familiar position: on the sidelines.

The Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index was up again this week after hitting a three-month high of 1390 on Friday and notching its fourth straight week of gains. Over that period, the index rose nearly 3%. But many retail investors missed out on the rally, yanking $9 billion from equity mutual funds in July, according to the most recent available data from Lipper, a research firm. Even with stocks reaching new milestones, “mutual-fund investors couldn’t get themselves to pile more money into their accounts,” says Jeff Tjornehoj, a senior analyst at Lipper.  Separate data suggests retail investors are bailing from equities just as pros are rushing in.

What’s not to love about stocks? Plenty, say crisis-scarred retail investors. Months of disappointing jobs numbers and other economic red flags have many worried about slower economic growth at home — and more volatility in the stock market. Last week’s mini flash crash, caused by a trading glitch at Knight Capital that impacted more than 140 stocks, only raised those concerns. Other advisers, like Frank Fantozzi, chief executive officer of Planned Financial Services, say they’re nervous about the so-called fiscal cliff that’s expected to be reached in January, when the combination of mandatory federal spending cuts and the expiration of several key tax breaks could create an even bigger drag on the economy. “We’re expecting more volatility,” says Fantozzi. Of course, it’s not the first time investors have fled the market during a rally: According to SmartMoney columnist Brett Arends, Main Street America largely missed the rally in stocks since the market bottomed out in early 2009. In total, over the past five years, the investors in ordinary domestic mutual funds have withdrawn $490 billion from the U.S. stock market. And there have been only a few brief periods during which they were buying, Arends found: the spring of 2008, just before the market collapsed; the spring of 2009, after the stock market had already rallied; and the start of 2011, shortly before the market slumped again.

Some market bulls say it’s not too late for small-fry investors to get in on the stock action. With the 10-year Treasury yielding just 1.6%, Richard Weeks, managing director and partner at HighTower Advisors in Vienna, Va., says stocks have more long-term potential than bonds. When today’s low interest rates eventually rise, bond prices should drop, which should push more investors back into the stock market. Even in today’s “unusual market,” where investors often react dramatically to news events, Weeks says he plans to snap up more stocks. He’s just waiting for the next market dip. “I might add when things get ugly,” he says.

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.


What do the unemployment numbers mean to you?

Many of you know people unemployed, underemployed, or who have simply dropped out of the workforce.  Media outlets broadcast the various unemployment numbers but what do those numbers mean to regular folks who do not have a degree in economics?

Here is some perspective...

The U.S. stock market closed last week in a good mood, boosted by the jobs numbers in the United States.  Specifically, nonfarm job creation of 163,000 for July was above analyst expectations of 100,000 but they fell behind the momentum of the early months of 2012. Nonfarm job creation had run at an average monthly rate of over 200,000 earlier this year which was probably due to unseasonably warm weather rather than to increased economic activity.

Monthly job creation numbers need to run at between 200,000 and 300,000 for several months in order to meaningfully lower the unemployment rate and accommodate an increase in the number of job-seekers. Instead, the open unemployment rate rose from 8.2% to 8.3% last month as the labor force participation rate dropped again, and average weekly earnings barely budged.

Even more important than the widely followed open unemployment rate was the rise from 14.9% to 15.0% in the under-employment rate which includes those working part-time involuntarily, and those who quit the labor force because they cannot find a job. This rate is down only marginally from the all-time high of 17.4% set in October 2009. And the long-term unemployed, defined as those without jobs for six months or longer, remained at over 40% of the total unemployed, as they have been since December 2009. The continuation of long-term unemployment would suggest that joblessness has become structural and, therefore, less amenable to monetary policy easing.

The significance of continued high unemployment is that consumer spending, which accounts for over two-thirds of gross national expenditure, is unlikely to increase sufficiently rapidly to facilitate faster economic growth. Just as further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve cannot cure structural unemployment, it will probably not succeed in encouraging households to increase spending and speed up the pace of economic expansion.

Summarized from:   Komal S. Sri-Kumar, Chief Global Strategist, TCW


How To Avoid Common Investing Problems

It has happened to most of us at some time or another: You're at a cocktail party enjoying your drink and hors d'oeuvres, and "the blowhard" happens your way. You know he's going to brag about his latest "giant accomplishment." This time, he's taken a long position in Widgets Plus.com, the latest, greatest online marketer of household gadgets. You come to find he knows nothing about the company, is still completely enamored with it and has invested 25% of his portfolio in it hoping he can double his money quickly.

Despite your resistance to hearing him drone on, you start to feel comfortable and smug in knowing that he has committed at least four common investing mistakes and that hopefully, this time he'll learn his lesson. This article will address eight of those common mistakes, including: investing in something you don't understand, falling in love with a company, lack of patience, turning over your portfolio too often, market-timing, waiting to get even, failing to diversify and letting your emotions rule the process.

1. Investing in Something You Don't Understand- One of the world's most successful investors, Warren Buffett, cautions against investing in businesses you don't understand. This means that you should not be buying stock in companies if you don't understand the business models. The best way to avoid this is to build a diversified portfolio of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds. If you do invest in individual stocks, make sure you thoroughly understand each company those stocks represent before you invest.

2. Falling in Love with a Company - Too often, when we see a company we've invested in do well, it's easy to fall in love with it and forget that we bought the stock as an investment. Remember: you bought this stock to make money. If any of the fundamentals that prompted you to buy into the company change, consider selling the stock.

3. Lack of Patience - How many times has the power of slow and steady progress become imminently clear? Slow and steady usually comes out on top - be it at the gym, in school or in your career. Why, then, do we expect it to be different with investing? A slow, steady and disciplined approach will go a lot farther over the long haul than going for the "Hail Mary" last-minute plays. Expecting our portfolios to do something other than what they're designed to do is a recipe for disaster. This means you need to keep your expectations realistic in regard to the length, time and growth that each stock will encounter.

4. Too Much Investment Turnover - Turnover, or jumping in and out of positions, is another return killer. Unless you're an institutional investor with the benefit of low commission rates, the transaction costs can eat you alive - not to mention the short-term tax rates and the opportunity cost of missing out on the long-term gains of good investments.

5. Market Timing - Market timing, turnover's evil cousin, also kills returns. Successfully timing the market is extremely difficult to do. Even institutional investors often fail to do it successfully. A well-known study, "Determinants Of Portfolio Performance" (Financial Analysts Journal, 1986), conducted by Gary P. Brinson, L. Randolph Hood and Gilbert Beerbower covered American pension-fund returns. This study showed that, on average, nearly 94% of the variation of returns over time was explained by the investment policy decision. In layman's terms, this indicates that, normally, most of a portfolio's return can be explained by the asset allocation decisions you make, not by timing or even security selection.

6. Waiting to Get Even - Getting even is just another way to ensure you lose any profit you might have made. This means you are waiting to sell a loser until it gets back to its original cost basis. Behavioral finance calls this a "cognitive error." By failing to realize a loss, investors are actually losing in two ways: first, they avoid selling a loser, which may continue to slide until it's worthless. Also, there's the opportunity cost of what may be a better use for those investment dollars.

7. Failing to Diversify - While professional investors may be able to generate alpha, (or, excess return over a benchmark) by investing in a few concentrated positions, common investors should not try to do this. Stick to the principal of diversification. In building an ETF or mutual fund portfolio, remember to allocate an exposure to all major spaces. In building an individual stock portfolio, allocate to all major sectors, and selectively to underweight sectors you feel might have potential. Do not allocate more than 5 to 10% to any one investment.

8. Letting Your Emotions Rule the Process - Perhaps the No.1 killer of investment return is your emotions. The axiom that fear and greed rule the market is true. Do not let fear or greed overtake you. Focus on the bigger picture. Stock market returns may deviate wildly over a shorter time frame, but over the long term, historical returns for large cap stocks can average 10 to 11%. Realize that, over a long time horizon, your portfolio's returns should not deviate much from those averages. In fact, you may benefit from the irrational decisions of other investors.

The Bottom Line - Investing mistakes are part of the investing process. Knowing what they are, when you're committing them and how to avoid them will help you succeed as an investor. To avoid committing them, develop a thoughtful, systematic plan and stick with it. If you must do something wild, set aside some fun money that you are fully prepared to lose. Follow these guidelines, and you will be well on your way to building a portfolio that will provide many happy returns over the long term.

Read more:  Investopedia

The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.

Saturday, August 4, 2012

The Economy Is Neither a Roller Coaster, Nor a Sporting Event

The media loves to talk about an economy that races ahead and then slumps, like some poor Olympic competitor. But the reality is that the world is a little more stable and flexible than the media would have you believe. When something goes amiss, consumers react and adjust. Gas prices go up, we buy smaller cars. Jobs get scarce, we go back to school. We adapt, but sometimes not fast enough for the short-term economic indicators.

It is really easy to fall into the trap of looking at monthly and quarterly numbers and annualizing them--and seasonal adjustment factors that have run amok aren't helping any, either. The economy is flowing at a steadier rate than many give it credit for.

Source:  Robert Johnson, CFA, Morningstar


Thursday, August 2, 2012

Dividend Payments Hit Record Levels

By: Matt Krantz, USA Today

Stocks haven't recovered since 2007. What about dividends?

Investors may be waiting for stocks to return to their highs of fall 2007. But dividends are already there.

U.S. stocks are scheduled to boost their dividend payments in the second quarter by $12 billion, pushing the payout to an all-time record, says S&P Dow Jones Indices.

All told, investors received a 14 percent boost in dividend cash payments in the second quarter.

The turnaround in dividends has been breathtaking. During the second quarter 505 U.S. companies boosted their dividends. That comes after 677 companies did in the first quarter. Compare that with the 37 companies that cut their dividends in the second quarter and 31 that cut in the first quarter.

Not only are dividends being paid at record-breaking levels, but they're very competitive versus investors' other options. The Standard & Poor's 500 is currently yielding 2.0 percent. That means investors can get more income from dividends than from the 10-year Treasury, which is currently yielding 1.5 percent.

And while dividends are already at record levels, expect them to rise further, some say. S&P Dow Jones Indices predicts dividends to rise again this year by 16 percent. If forecasts are correct, 70 percent of the stocks in the Standard & Poor's 500 will boost their dividends this year.

It's not all rosy, though. Thanks to tax-cutting regulation in 2003, most investors pay just 15 percent tax on their dividends. However, unless Congress takes action, that dividend tax rate could jump. For some taxpayers, the tax rate on dividends could jump to 43.4 percent, S&P Dow Jones Indices estimates. If nothing happens, some investors may choose to sell shares of some dividend paying stocks prior to the end of the year.

 The information contained in this article does not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.